Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 16.603967 19.239001 22.095275 25.413609 29.154563 33.233135 38.007770
2025-09-14 12.388323 16.071253 20.452331 26.009206 32.826923 40.873340 51.038855
2025-09-21 9.492248 13.496488 18.627243 25.596355 34.715830 46.133379 61.382421
2025-09-28 7.456478 11.484053 16.985552 24.902828 35.830554 50.184851 70.228661
2025-10-05 6.714685 11.038971 17.258866 26.630523 40.116574 58.499476 85.053798
2025-10-12 6.040682 10.545011 17.335859 27.998458 43.920122 66.338520 99.688688
2025-10-19 5.257152 9.734728 16.801596 28.346190 46.201012 72.119601 111.747579
2025-10-26 4.580769 8.976819 16.224268 28.513511 48.150923 77.468691 123.429271
2025-11-02 3.922756 8.135868 15.388691 28.144600 49.183343 81.451628 133.258193
2025-11-09 3.339841 7.328851 14.494928 27.554873 49.762661 84.712886 142.108644
2025-11-16 2.835934 6.582927 13.603605 26.850916 50.051664 87.477132 150.274447
2025-11-23 2.368880 5.826466 12.589122 25.804670 49.641694 89.045108 156.575321
2025-11-30 2.130230 5.531733 12.455459 26.428554 52.316797 96.066047 172.481313
2025-12-07 1.900638 5.221682 12.264833 26.952585 54.910759 103.213632 189.191405
2025-12-14 1.614252 4.721273 11.614602 26.511358 55.705022 107.347093 201.130408
2025-12-21 1.351491 4.217255 10.875907 25.793829 55.894246 110.404108 211.375061
2025-12-28 1.306284 4.258967 11.335542 27.574157 60.975152 122.397969 237.650327
2026-01-04 1.237038 4.222076 11.609496 28.983693 65.428092 133.500003 262.903555
2026-01-11 1.109857 3.995928 11.408743 29.341962 67.808767 140.937600 282.011826
2026-01-18 0.988034 3.756686 11.140042 29.514351 69.812130 147.769261 300.346037
2026-01-25 0.854969 3.449552 10.654484 29.134255 70.627494 152.383786 314.835587
2026-02-01 0.730483 3.135925 10.101112 28.526607 70.897403 155.942605 327.515737
2026-02-08 0.619219 2.834375 9.528977 27.801189 70.838213 158.829941 339.043016